EU Referendum: Massive swing to Brexit – with just 12 days to go

by Andrew Grice  |  published on June 11, 2016

The campaign to take Britain out of the EU has opened up a remarkable 10-point lead over the Remain camp, according to an exclusive poll for The Independent.

The survey of 2,000 people by ORB found that 55 per cent believe the UK should leave the EU (up four points since our last poll in April), while 45 per cent want it to remain (down four points). These figures are weighted to take account of people’s likelihood to vote. It is by far the biggest lead the Leave camp has enjoyed since ORB began polling the EU issue for The Independent a year ago, when it was Remain who enjoyed a 10-point lead. Now the tables have turned.

Even when the findings are not weighted for turnout, Leave is on 53 per cent (up three points since April) and Remain on 47 per cent (down three). The online poll, taken on Wednesday and Thursday, suggests the Out camp has achieved momentum at the critical time ahead of the 23 June referendum.

Differential turnout could prove crucial. ORB found that 78 per cent of Leave supporters say they will definitely vote – describing themselves as a “10” on a scale of 0-10, while only 66 per cent of Remain supporters say the same.

  • Wolfman

    Go Britain!!! This will be your first step to making Britain …..Great again!!! I believe it will be painful at first as the value of their money will most likely fall…but ALL REVOLUTIONS come with angst/chaos in order to re-establish stability. The fact is you cannot change without actually causing change…and this in and of itself this creates stress on all systems. Take a look at the stress ‘Obumhole’ has caused in the US with his fiscal/immigration/racist combination of ‘ Social Justice/Engineering’. Yes! I said racist…just read his own words in his autobiography and his BLM approach to society. He hates cops, he hates whites, he hates the military ( especially heroes), he hates the rich ( except for his own rich self and his expensive lifestyle), etc. Just because he is ‘president’ ( in title only) does not make him non-prejudiced against everything this Country stood for.

    • Rodney Steward

      I agree, but England will fall and it will be to islam that has taken over that place! They now have a muslim mayor, and have removed their OWN flag to keep from offending them, and they’ve gotten to the point to where they are scared of them, they’re over run! This is what happens when U take guns away from the people, all to please the UN, that is now the enemy of the world! And remember, muslims LOVE GUN FREE ZONES!! But the EU does su$k!

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