Colorado has been one of the clear surprises this midterm. While the general outlines of the Senate battlefield have been set for two years, Colorado emerged as a competitive state early this year. After a harmonious accommodation between the party establishment and local tea party groups to agree on a nominee, the GOP candidate, Rep. Cory Gardner, has executed a good campaign that has steadily built strong support. The final question will be how the state adapts to a new voting system. This year, for the first time, the midterm election will be conducted entirely by mail-in ballot. Just over a week ago, state election officials mailed a formal ballot to every voter registered in the state. Ballots have to be returned by mail or turned into polling stations by election day, November 4th. Voting is literally under way in the state right now. This makes handicapping the race more difficult. Two polls released this week show Gardner as the clear favorite to win the seat. A poll from Quinnipiac shows Gardner leading Sen. Mark Udall by 6 points, 47-41. Udall leads among women by 9 points, but Gardner holds a staggering 19 point edge among men. Independents prefer Gardner
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