Pollsters fight to figure out Trump phenomenon

by Reid Wilson | The Hill  |  published on September 1, 2016


Pollsters are debating whether Donald Trump’s “silent majority” of voters exists, and are scrambling to make sure that their surveys reflect the opinions of voters who might not ordinarily be included in opinion polls.

Democratic and Republican pollsters alike are determined to get their predictions for the 2016 elections right in the wake of a series of high-profile missed calls.

Partisan claims of skewed results have also escalated, with Trump and his unconventional claim asserting that polls aren’t capturing the Republican presidential nominee’s true support.

Trump claims his campaign will turn out millions of new or irregular voters in November, some of whom will be voting for the first time.

Some pollsters acknowledge the race presents some new challenges.

  • Pete

    Pollsters like any other predicting endeavor (weather?) base their estimates on things that transpired in the past. The last out of the box election in the US was Ronald Reagan & as I recall the insider politicos were messing their undies over him.
    The insider fight with Trump started earlier & actually resembles the George Romney spiking of Goldwater decades ago. The late date calls for the party big shots to pull money away from the candidate. Last minute fielding nobody candidates to draw off party voters. Bombastic advertising against the nominee generated by party insiders. All have surfaced again this time around. Goldwater didn’t have the ability to fight back real time, with Trump, response is swift and usually preemptive. Never Trump has taken on a battle they can not survive. Success is a long shot in this instant news age & should they win, the majority of republican primary voters will (rightly or wrongly) hang everything Clinton does around their neck.

  • ONTIME

    If the polls believed in truth to power, they would not have to struggle with ineptitude and deny the loss of character and morality we are now in the throes of living…stop looking at the left wing political crooks and look at those who want to serve the country for the good of the country….

  • Walter Flatt

    ALL MUSLIMS ARE BARRED FROM THIS COUNTRY BY A LAW PASSED IS STILL ON THE BOOKS IN 1953. BEFORE THAT THOMAS JEFFERSON PASSED A LAW BARRING ALL MUSLIMS. SOMEONE HAS SEEN THE DANGER BEFORE.

  • Walter Flatt

    DARN RIGHT THE SLIENT MAJORITY EXISTS, AND I WOULD SAY SINCE I AM ONE, 30% OF THE THINKING DEMOCRAT PARTY WILL VOTE FOR TRUMP.

    FROM A KOREAN WAR VET 51/53, A REGISTERED DEMOCRAT BUT NOT A ZOMBI, AND A CHRISTIAN.

    THE GOVERNMENT PASSED A LAW IN 1952 BARRING ALL MUSLIMS NONE IS HERE LEGALLY AND THAT INCLUDE OBAMA A PROFESSED MUSLIM.

    IS HILLIARY ON DOPE? GOOGLE THE NEW CLINTON CHRONICLES 2015, NO AMERICAN, REGARDLESS IF YOU ARE A DEMOCRAT, REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT, CHRISTIAN, COP, VETERN, SOLDIER, HOW COULD YPU POSSIBLE THINK SHE WOULD BE BEST FOR OUR COUNTRY.

    HAS HILLARY AND OBAMA, KERRY, SOROS, AND THE BIASED MEDIA, SET THE USA UP FOR A MUSLIM INVASION? IF NOT, YOU SHOULD READ THE WHYS BELOW AND DECIDE YOURSELF.

    COAT YOUR BULLETS WITH PIG GREASE OR BLOOD AND LET THE WORLD KNOW THAT ANY MUSLIM KILLED WILL BE BURIED WITH PIG PARTS.

    WHY WAS OBAMA ALLOWED TO SWEAR IN CAROLYN WALKER IN AS JUDGE IN THE 7TH MUNICIPAL DISTRICT IN BROOKLING USING THE QURAN. SHE SHOULD BE RECALLED IMMEDIATELLY.

    WHY ARE THEIR 5 MUSLIM CAMPS ONE AT FAIRFAX, FALLS CH, RED HOUSE, MEHERRIN, BETHANY VA. ARE THEY TO INVADE WASH.DC? YOU SHOULD FIND OUT.

    WHY IS THE TAX PAYER FORCED TO FEED AND CLOTH THE PEOPLE THAT ARE TRYING TO KILL US.

    IF YOU WANT A LIST OF THE TOWNS THEY ARE CLOSE TO, CONTACT ME.

    SINCE OUR TROOPS ARE NOT ARMED, YOU CAN TAKE 100 WELL ARMED PEOPLE THAT WANT TO KILL US & TAKE ANY MILITARY BASE IN THIS COUNTRY.

    BETTER WAKE UP & ALLOW OUR TROOPS TO CARRY LOADED GUNS. TODAY OUR CAMPS ARE A FREE KILLING ZONE.

    WHY DO YOU THINK THE MUSLIM MAJOR KILLED SO MANY IN TEXAS & HE IS STILL LIVING???.WHY?

    I CALLED AND VERIFIED THE MUSLIM CAMP CLOSE TO FT. CAMPBELL & A LADY VERIFIED THE FEMA CAMP WITH ARMED GUARDS IN EAST KY. AND THE ONE IN SHAWNEE NATIONAL FORREST IN SOUTHERN ILL. FOR GODS SAKE AND OUR COUNTRY WAKE UP.

    WHY GIVE 5 TERRIOSTS FOR ONE TRAITOR. FOLKS IT GOES ON & ON, WAKE UP AMERICA.

    WHY GIVE 150 BILLION AND ANOTHER 400 MILLION TO IRAN TO FUND A HYDROGEN BOMB, AND TERRIOST?

    WHY STOP THE SHIPMENT OF PLANES & TANKS TO EGYPT WHEN THEIR ARMY KICKED THE RADICALS OUT. I KNOW THERE IS A LOT OF WHYS, AND THERE ARE MORE, SUCH AS,

    WHY IS OBAMA & HILLARY TRYING TO BRING IN 160 THOUSAND MUSLIMS?

    WHY TRY AND TAKE OUR GUNS

    WHY DID THEY TRY & BUY UP ALL AMM0

    WHY HAS OUR GOVERNMENT BUILT A FEMA CAMP IN EVERY STATE, SOME MORE THAN ONE. IS IT TO HOUSE MUSLIMS FOR THE TAX PAYER TO FEED?

    WHY HAS THIS GOVERNMENT ALLOWED 35 MUSLIM CAMPS HERE IN THE USA & ONE 9 MILES OVER IN MEXICO, FIVE ARE IN NORTH VIRGINIA. COULD IT BE TO TAKE WASHINGTON?

    GOOGLE THE NEW CLINTON CHRONICLES. COULD THIS BE THE REASON THEY WANT OPEN BORDERS. IS SHE ON DOPE? HOW CAN ANY CHRISTIAN, VET OR COP VOTE FOR ANYTHING LIKE THIS.

    VOTE DONALD TRUMP TO STOP THIS INSANE DESTROYING OF AMERICA.

  • Leslie Woodhull

    They haven’t seen anything yet!! There is so much anger against Oblabber and HILDEBITCH that how badly she’s defeated is going to make their heads spin!! Whenever I hear some stupid talking airhead or even Glenn Beck try to”predict”
    how much of a “comfortable lead” HILDEBITCH supposedly has, I think-you just wait you jerks!! Trump is going to win and he’s going to WIN BIG!!

  • Not A Farmer

    We have had enough of the Politicians.

  • Wolfman

    What’s to figure he talks like a ‘Man’s Man’ and is a successful businessman. The USA is nothing but a big Corproration anyway…who better to run the largest Corporation in America…than a successful businessman???

    • Walter Flatt

      YOU SURE DO NOT WANT ANOTHER SENATOR WITH NO BUSINESS EXPERIENCE TRYING TO RUN THE LARGEST BUSINESS ON EARTH, THE USA GOVERNMENT. ESPECIALLY ONE LIKE HILLIARY. GOOGLE THE NEW CLINTON CHRONICLSE 2015 AND LISTEN TO ALL OF IT AND YOU WILL SEE WHAT I MEAN.

      • ONTIME

        kill all the lawyers…………..Willie the baird

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  • Stephen Howe

    Imagine! The pollsters just can’t figure out the appeal of populism, after DECADES of RINO apathy. Why, this must be some sort of mistake! This isn’t what America is all about? We’re a nation of immigrants, after all? And this is 2016, not 1916!

    Not unlike primary after primary, despite our lying media’s incessant attempts to demonize common sense and shame “old, hateful, white, uneducated, male” Trump voters into avoiding the polls all together this November, Trump will emerge as the landslide winner, Shrillary will have a(nother) seizure, and the liberal pundits will scratch their collective, pointy heads. Surely the KKK must be at the bottom of this…?

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